2016 California Almond Forecast Up 7.9 Percent

United States Department of Agriculture
National Agricultural Statistics Service

Cooperating with the California Department of Food and Agriculture
California’s 2016 almond production is forecast at 2.05 billion meat pounds, up 2.5 percent from May’s subjective forecast and up 7.9 percent from last year’s crop. The forecast is based on 900 thousand bearing acres. Production for the Nonpareil variety is forecast at 780 million meat pounds, up 7.4 percent from last year’s deliveries. The Nonpareil variety represents 38 percent of California’s total almond production.

The 2016 California almond crop began bloom in mid-February, after the winter provided better chill hours than last year. Bloom conditions were good; bloom was reportedly fast and uniform. Precipitation this year was significantly better than in 2015. Many areas are still in drought, although trees showed signs of recovery from the last few years of insufficient water.

The  average nut set  per tree is 6,159, up 4.9 percent from 2015. The Nonpareil average nut set of 5,583 is up 6.6 percent from last year’s set of 5,239. The average kernel weight for all varieties sampled was 1.4 8 grams, up 3.5 percent from the 2015 average weight of 1.43 grams. The Nonpareil average kernel weight was 1.65, up 2.5 percent from last year. A total of 98.8 percent of all nuts sized were sound.